 Alexander R. Opotowsky

Alexander R. Opotowsky is a physician whose research includes adult congenital heart conditions, exercise physiology and evaluation of cardiac output measurements. His institutional profile identifies these scientific interests.^[ref]

In a 2017 primary study, Opotowsky and colleagues compared paired thermodilution and estimated-oxygen-uptake Fick principle measurements from 12,232 adults in a Veterans Affairs cohort and 3,391 adults at Vanderbilt. The investigators examined method agreement and subsequent mortality associations.^[ref] Comparing two methods does not make either an error-free ground truth.

The measurement distinction can be explained by oxygen-uptake assumptions in estimated Fick output. At steady state, the oxygen Fick principle writeswhere $Q$ is cardiac output, the numerator is oxygen consumption per unit time and the denominator is the arterial-minus-mixed-venous oxygen content difference. Estimating the numerator from an external formula introduces an assumption that directly scales the inferred cardiac output; it is distinct from measuring oxygen consumption.

For stipulated oxygen uptake of 200 mL/min and a content difference of $50\mathrm{mL}{\mathrm{L}}^{-1}$, $Q=4$ L/min. Substituting an estimated uptake of 250 mL/min gives 5 L/min, a 25% increase with unchanged content measurements. This is an original error-propagation example, not a patient result or a universal performance estimate. Errors in the content difference can also affect the ratio.

The primary study found that a small average difference between methods coexisted with wide limits of agreement.^[ref] Positive and negative discrepancies can cancel in a mean while remaining substantial for individuals. This separates average bias, individual agreement and prognostic association, rather than treating all three as one measure of accuracy.