Exponential first-passage transform for an upward skip-free random walk
ID: exponential-first-passage-transform-for-an-upward-skip-free-random-walk
Let have integrable, mean-zero independent and identically distributed random variables as increments, taking integer values at most one, with . For a positive integer , put and , . Then is finite almost surely. Indeed, is a nonnegative martingale; finite convergence on would force its integer increments eventually to vanish, contrary to the Borel-Cantelli lemmas applied to .
The exponential martingale of a random walk stopped at is bounded by because and . The dominated convergence theorem therefore preserves its mean one at the limit and proves the displayed first-passage time transform. This argument accommodates arbitrarily large negative jumps; the restriction concerns upward jumps. For a simple symmetric random walk, , giving .
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