Lagrange multiplier as a marginal cost

ID: lagrange-multiplier-as-a-marginal-cost

The chosen quadratic objective function above gives more than an optimal allocation: its Lagrange multiplier predicts how much the best cost changes when the required total changes. For this example,
This is an explicit derivative of a constrained value function and an instance of the envelope theorem. At , one extra small unit of required output costs approximately units per unit of output, in the chosen normalized model. Increasing makes this equality-constrained minimization problem more expensive; it is not a gain from relaxing an upper resource limit. The sign and meaning depend on how the optimization constraint and optimization Lagrangian are written.[ref]
For an actual finite change , the cost difference is exactly
At , the linear approximation predicts , while the exact increase is . The extra comes from the squared term in this polynomial, rather than numerical error. A Lagrange multiplier gives a local sensitivity analysis; treating it as a constant price over a large change generally loses the change in the optimum itself.
Figure 1.
The multiplier is the slope of the optimal cost, with a computable finite-change correction
. Original calculations for . Left: the value function and its tangent at . Right: exact and first-order cost increases for nonnegative changes ; their gap is . The marked is a chosen example, not an observed price or a measured response. Details.
For a smooth optimizer of an equality problem , the short chain rule calculation explains the result: and imply . The differentiability and stationarity assumptions matter: an optimizer can fail to be unique or vary smoothly. The envelope theorem records when this interpretation is justified.

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