Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2002/iii/paper-40/4/a/ii/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2002 iii Paper 40 4 a ii Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
At temperature , target a probability density function proportional to on a parameter region where it is normalizable, possibly with a specified proper base measure. A Metropolis–Hastings algorithm proposal has acceptance probabilityFor a symmetric proposal, improving moves are accepted and a loss is accepted with probability . Run updates while gradually lowering toward zero. This simulated annealing scheme initially permits exploration and increasingly favors high objective values. Appropriate cooling and mixing conditions are needed for a general global convergence theorem; a finite arbitrary schedule does not guarantee finding a global maximum.
To maximize a positive likelihood function, take , which has the same maximizers. The resulting likelihood-power annealing target is , and available Gibbs sampler conditional distributions can replace Metropolis proposals.
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