Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2004/iii/paper-39/1/v/solution

For fixed , use the Lyapunov condition for the independent centered epoch counts . Their total variance is .
Write . Differentiating the geometric distribution probability generating function gives . Since , the sum of the centered absolute third moments is . Consequently
The Lindeberg-Feller central limit theorem applies through the Lyapunov condition, giving . Now , so the Slutsky theorem proves the asymptotic normality of the Watterson estimator:
The limiting variance is . When , every count vanishes and the limiting law is the point mass at zero.

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