Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2005/iii/paper-42/6/i/solution

An Edgeworth expansion refines the central limit theorem by incorporating higher cumulants. For iid centred observations with variance , standardized sum , standardized third cumulant and fourth cumulant , its central-region density expansion is
under sufficient moment and smoothness/nonlattice conditions. Here , , are probabilists' Hermite polynomials. Expanding the characteristic exponent gives the cubic and quartic terms, while squaring the cubic term in the exponential gives the correction. Integrating the first correction, using , gives
Thus skewness determines the first departure from the normal approximation; inversion gives a Cornish-Fisher expansion for quantiles. These are asymptotic expansions, not guaranteed nonnegative densities in extreme tails. Lattice data require continuity/lattice corrections, and moment assumptions alone do not justify a uniform smooth-density expansion.

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