Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2006/iii/paper-42/4/ii/solution

For , integrating the exponential tilt gives the moment-generating function
At an interior natural parameter this is finite in a neighbourhood of , so differentiation under the integral sign is justified by the nearby exponential moments. Differentiating its logarithm once and twice at zero gives
Alternatively the score function is ; its mean zero and its covariance matrix give the same exponential-family derivative identities. For any vector , . In a minimal exponential family this variance is strictly positive whenever , proving strict convexity of the cumulant function. For a general exponential family whose sufficient statistic is , these identities describe the mean and covariance matrix of , rather than necessarily those of itself.

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