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ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2007/iii/paper-46/1/c/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2007 iii Paper 46 1 c Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let be attendance totals and the observed person-time at risk. Under independent Poisson distributions for the totals, the estimated incidence rate ratio is . Treating the exposures as known, the supplied large-count approximation, or the delta method, givesIndependence adds the log-count variances, while fixed exposure terms add no variance. Form the normal confidence interval on the log scale and exponentiate:This specifies the calculation without evaluating it. Individual randomization makes a child the assignment unit, but an independent Poisson count model remains an additional assumption about outcomes, not a consequence of randomization alone.
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