Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2012/iii/paper-41/1/e/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 41 1 e Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Within the displayed sequential response selection model, makes every attempt's nonresponse probability independent of , and hence gives the outcome-independence needed for complete-case analysis. The estimate suggests that larger outcomes are associated with greater odds of an unsuccessful attempt. Per one-unit outcome increase, the fitted odds ratio is , with the reported interval transformed to .
The confidence interval for includes zero, so there is no rejection of outcome-independent missingness at the five-percent level within this model. This does not establish that the missing at random assumption is true: the interval also allows appreciable outcome dependence, and inference depends on the chosen selection model. The intercepts describe response levels, not independence from the outcome. Nor can the respondents' mean and standard deviation establish the missing outcomes' distribution. There are unobserved outcomes, about , so conclusions about the full trial depend materially on the missingness assumptions.
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