Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2013/iii/paper-34/1/f/solution

The Type II maximum likelihood estimator maximizes the Bayesian model evidence after integrating out the breed parameters:
For positive sample sizes define . Up to an additive constant, the log-likelihood is
Differentiation gives the interior score equation
Also . If , the derivative decreases from infinity to , so a unique finite maximum exists. When all sample sizes equal , the equation becomes , giving
For no finite maximum exists. Plugging this hyperparameter estimate into the breed posterior distributions is an Empirical Bayes method.

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