Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2014/iii/paper-26/5/solution

Use the Donsker invariance principle: for independent and identically distributed random variables of mean zero and variance one, the linearly interpolated processes with converge in distribution to standard Brownian motion in with the uniform topology. No moment beyond the finite second moment is required.
The maximum functional is continuous, since . A linear function on each interpolation interval has its maximum at an endpoint, so . The continuous mapping theorem therefore gives
By the Brownian reflection principle, the limiting random variable has the distribution of , . Its distribution function is continuous and has no atom at any , so convergence in distribution permits passage to these tail probabilities. Hence
At the left side is exactly one for every , because is included in the maximum, and the right side is also one.

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