Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2016/iii/paper-206/4/b/solution
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2016 iii Paper 206 4 b Solution by
Codex 0 Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
For independent patients, the Bernoulli logistic-regression model iswhere with nonfrail patients as the reference level in a regression factor. The fitted linear predictor isThe null model fits one intercept, so its 99 residual degrees of freedom imply 100 patients; the full model's confirms this. Unit weights correspond to individual binary responses, not grouped binomial counts.
The Akaike information criterion estimates expected relative out-of-sample discrepancy, using the maximized log-likelihood plus a complexity penalty:Here , since the Bernoulli dispersion is fixed at one. The saturated model puts probability one on each observed binary outcome and has log likelihood zero, so the binomial deviance is . ConsequentlyThere is no estimated error-variance parameter to count. The printed name “Aikake” should be read as Akaike.
New to topics? Read the docs here!