Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-mathematics-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2016/iii/paper-206/4/b/solution

For independent patients, the Bernoulli logistic-regression model is
where with nonfrail patients as the reference level in a regression factor. The fitted linear predictor is
The null model fits one intercept, so its 99 residual degrees of freedom imply 100 patients; the full model's confirms this. Unit weights correspond to individual binary responses, not grouped binomial counts.
The Akaike information criterion estimates expected relative out-of-sample discrepancy, using the maximized log-likelihood plus a complexity penalty:
Here , since the Bernoulli dispersion is fixed at one. The saturated model puts probability one on each observed binary outcome and has log likelihood zero, so the binomial deviance is . Consequently
There is no estimated error-variance parameter to count. The printed name “Aikake” should be read as Akaike.

New to topics? Read the docs here!