Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-physics-of-atmospheres-and-oceans-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2021/2/c/solution

At fixed ground temperature, warming the cloud increases its downward radiant flux , giving a positive contribution to the ground's radiative heating. That is the immediate radiative effect. A self-consistent final answer must also remove the convective heat transfer used to pin the original cloud to the dry adiabatic process.
For pure radiative equilibrium of both bodies, with no net nonradiative energy exchange, their two balances are
For this gives
The limit gives the selected limiting cloud temperature; at exactly , only is fixed radiatively. The maximum greenhouse effect at fixed occurs at :
The pinned dry-adiabatic process case instead has maximum factor . It exceeds for a high, cold cloud with , equals it at the level found in part b, and is smaller for a low, warm cloud.
In particular, for the final purely radiative ground is cooler than the pinned solution, even though a warmer cloud increases downward radiation at fixed . To see why these statements are compatible, let be the net upward nonradiative energy transfer from the ground to the cloud in the pinned state. Its conservation of energy equation requires
For the cold cloud, : maintaining it on the assumed dry adiabatic process requires removing its net radiative heating and returning energy elsewhere. Setting changes that energy redistribution. It is therefore incorrect to infer the final ground temperature by changing only the downward radiant flux. Indeed the final cloud is warmer than the pinned one for and , while the final ground is cooler. At the cloud temperature is in both whole-column equilibria.
Fixed cloud properties are an artificial constraint. Warming a saturated cloud increases the saturation pressure, tending to evaporate its cloud droplets; the released water vapor, changing latent heat budget and altered buoyancy can change its altitude and emissivity. Cooling favours condensation and potentially atmospheric precipitation. A warm perturbation that survives evaporation can rise by convection, but neither a unique vertical displacement nor survival of the cloud follows without moisture supply and an environmental temperature profile. Finally, pure radiative equilibrium of the two bodies does not require the intervening transparent gas to remain on the original dry adiabatic process; imposing that extra constraint is generally inconsistent except at the matching level in part b.

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