Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2021/1/c/v/solution
Past exam of the probability course of the University of Oxford 2021 1 c v Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
The possible limiting correlation coefficients areThe direction of the dependence comes from inversion of the same counting process: extra arrivals produce a larger count but an earlier -th Poisson arrival time. Shared fluctuations therefore enter the two coordinates with opposite signs. Positive limiting correlation cannot arise; this can be formalized using negative quadrant dependence of a Poisson count and an arrival time.
At the same time scale, , part (iii) rules out every positive-positive quadrant. A bivariate normal distribution with standard normal marginal distributions and assigns positive probability to such a quadrant. Thus, under the assumed joint limit, this choice forces . At very different time scales, , part (iv) gives .
Intermediate time scales retain an intermediate fraction of the same arrival fluctuations. In particular, the Poisson count-arrival joint central limit theorem gives for with . These choices realize every , and supplies zero. This identifies the whole interval without requiring an additional limit calculation in this part.
The premise about a bivariate normal distribution is understood to apply when a joint limit exists. Merely requiring cannot guarantee one: taking for even and for odd gives different limits along the two subsequences just identified.
New to topics? Read the docs here!