Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-probability-measure-and-martingales-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2021/1/a/ii/solution
Past exam of the probability, measure and martingales course of the University of Oxford 2021 1 a ii Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-25
Write and . The two conditional expectation identities supply a -measurable version of and a -measurable version of . Work with those versions, which do not change any almost sure equality. Both lie in L2 space, and the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality makes their product an integrable random variable.
Testing the first conditional expectation identity against , and the second against , givesFor completeness, these tests with unbounded multipliers are valid by first using the bounded truncations and , then passing to the limit with the Cauchy-Schwarz inequality and convergence in L2. Consequently,A nonnegative random variable with zero expected value vanishes almost surely. Therefore almost surely. This is mutual conditional expectation rigidity in L2; it also follows from the equality case for conditional second moments.
For a counterexample to equality of the original random variables, let give probability to each of , set , and use the nonconstant function . Then takes both values and . It is measurable with respect to both generated sigma-algebras, so both required conditional expectation identities hold. Symmetry gives , while neither random variable can be zero. Thus
New to topics? Read the docs here!