Let belong to L2 space, and suppose and almost surely, for two possibly nonnested sigma-algebras. Then almost surely. No independence or inclusion between the sigma-algebras is required.
The identities supply -measurable and -measurable versions of and . The measurable-factor rule for conditional expectation and Cauchy-Schwarz inequality giveExpanding the square shows , and hence the required almost sure equality. Equivalently, each conditional expectation is an orthogonal projection in L2 space, and the two projection identities force equality in the equality case for conditional second moments.
Equality after applying a function need not identify its original input. For instance, on four equally likely outcomes let take and set . Their squares are the same nonconstant random variable, even though and differ everywhere. Injectivity of the function would rule out this loss of information.
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