 Solution

The strongest pre-2014 evidence combines large gravitating mass with extreme compactness. In an X-ray binary, companion-star radial velocities determine a binary mass function; orbital inclination, donor properties and distance complete the mass inference. An unseen component above conventional neutron-star masses is a black-hole candidate. For example, a 2011 Cygnus X-1 analysis combined optical photometry, spectroscopy and distance information to infer a compact-object mass about $14.8M_{\odot }$, with model and observational uncertainties.^[ref]

Near Sagittarius A*, infrared stellar astrometry and radial velocities trace nearly Keplerian orbits around a dark compact mass. The concentration of several million solar masses in a small volume strongly challenges an extended cluster of ordinary remnants; source confusion, reference-frame errors, distance and possible extended mass must be fitted.^[ref] Gas and maser dynamics provide related compact-mass tests in other nuclei.

accretion explains luminous X-rays, rapid variability and broad relativistic disk features. These constrain size and the strong-field environment, but emission alone is not unique to an event horizon. Lack of surface-like signatures is supporting, model-dependent evidence. Mass, compactness and consistent accretion phenomenology together support the black-hole interpretation; large-radius mass measurements alone do not directly demonstrate a horizon.