Solution

ID: past-exam-of-the-short-options-paper-shared-by-prelims-and-parts-a-and-b-of-the-physics-course-of-the-university-of-oxford/2012/s9/2/a/solution

Take the driving signs to be independent across times, with and . Temporal independence of the drivers is an assumption needed in addition to their stated equal one-time probabilities. For ,
As a useful scale check, takes values with probabilities . Its variance is therefore , rather than the unit variance of a single driving sign.

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