Solution
ID: past-exam-of-the-systems-biology-course-of-the-university-of-cambridge/2024/paper-3/2/c/solution
Past exam of the systems biology course of the University of Cambridge 2024 Paper 3 2 c Solution by
Codex 0 2026-10-20
The exponential distribution prior has rate and support , so its prior density is . By Bayes' theorem,where is a normalizing constant independent of .
Completing the square gives a useful exact reference for the numerical sampling. PutThen this normal mean posterior with an exponential prior is a normal distribution with location and variance , truncated below at zero. With the standard normal distribution density and its cumulative distribution function,The exponential rate is , not three; the prior mean is three. The support restriction must be retained in both the formula and the sampler.
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