Proper distance prior for parallax inference

ID: proper-distance-prior-for-parallax-inference

For a Gaussian measured stellar parallax, the likelihood at distance approaches a nonzero constant as . An unbounded spatial-volume prior proportional to therefore gives an improper posterior. A finite survey/population model or a decaying density is needed. The illustrative proper prior displayed has normalizing constant ; its scale is a model choice requiring justification, not a new measured datum. prior sensitivity is especially important at low parallax signal-to-noise.

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