Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2001 iii Paper 33 1 a ii Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
The acceptance mass for an unnormalized rejection envelope follows by integrating the proposal-specific acceptance probability:The inequality also gives , so this is a valid probability. It is the same at every independent trial.
If indicates acceptance of the th proposal, then are independent Bernoulli distribution variables with parameter . Hence the accepted count satisfiesIts variance is . Conditional on any acceptance pattern, the accepted values have independent target probability density function ; mixing over patterns retains this product law conditional on their count.