Normalize and put . Its dynamics are . Bounded volatility makes this stochastic exponential a true martingale on each finite horizon, by the Novikov condition. It also gives a finite second moment: stopping the Itô formula for and applying the Gronwall inequality yields when .
The discounted payoff is thus square-integrable. Define the nonnegative martingale
The Brownian martingale representation theorem says that every square-integrable martingale in the Brownian filtration has a representation with predictable and . Since and , choose
Then discounted gains satisfy . Consequently is self-financing, nonnegative, and hence an admissible trading strategy. At maturity , proving claim replication at cost .
For minimality, discounted wealth of any admissible self-financing portfolio is a local martingale bounded below, hence a supermartingale by localization and the conditional Fatou lemma. Thus any such replication with initial wealth obeys
Together with the constructed portfolio, this proves
This is Brownian representation replication in a local volatility market. The given drift means that the original probability measure already serves as the risk-neutral measure.
For a local volatility model with bank account , a nonnegative classical solution of
defines a possible price of a European contingent claim. Indeed, Itô formula gives , a local martingale. Thus the same equivalent local martingale measure works for the market augmented by this price. For an admissible trading strategy whose discounted wealth is bounded below, the discounted gains are a local martingale bounded below, hence a supermartingale by localization and the Fatou lemma. A zero-cost terminal gain that is nonnegative and strictly positive with positive probability would then contradict the supermartingale expectation inequality. This proves the absence of arbitrage for such strategies. If is bounded on the finite time interval, its discounted value is a bounded martingale and consequently . Nonnegativity alone guarantees the local martingale calculation, not this latter equality for every possible solution.
Risk-neutral pricing Created 2026-09-29 Updated 2026-10-14
In a finite-state discrete-time financial market, a replicable terminal financial payoff has the displayed value under any equivalent martingale measure for the bank account numéraire. Here represents current information and conditional expectation averages over future states. The self-financing portfolio's discounted portfolio wealth is a martingale, so its current value equals the discounted expectation of its terminal value. In an incomplete market, nonreplicable claims need not have a unique price; continuous-time extensions require further conditions on admissible trading strategies and integrable discounted wealth.
For the European call option in the example,
Discounting the physical expected value instead gives when , or when . Those amounts describe discounted physical expectations, not the replicating portfolio's cost. Holding fixed is crucial: changing beliefs can influence traded prices in a richer financial market model.
Figure 1.
Physical expectations vary with beliefs while the one-step replication price stays fixed
. Details.