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Best linear unbiased prediction (b=DZTV−1(Y−Xβ​GLS​))

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Probability and statistics Statistical model Statistical modelling Generalized linear model Generalized linear mixed model Gaussian linear mixed model
2026-10-06  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
With known covariance parameters, best linear unbiased prediction minimizes prediction-error variance over linear predictors that are unbiased over both observation errors and random effects, for every fixed-effect value. In a Gaussian linear mixed model, the random-effect predictor is DZTV−1(Y−Xβ​GLS​), where generalized least squares estimates the fixed effects. Plugging in covariance estimates gives an empirical predictor; its uncertainty must also account for estimating those covariance parameters. It differs from a best linear unbiased estimator of an unknown fixed coefficient.

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