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Discounted symmetric random-walk exit transform

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Probability theory Martingale Stopping time Stopped martingale in discrete time
Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-29  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
For simple symmetric random walk stopped on hitting −a or b and 0<z<1, choose w>1 by
z=w+w−12​,w=z1+1−z2​​.
(1)
Then znw±Xn​ are martingales. Solving the two boundary equations gives
E0​zT=wa+b−w−(a+b)wa+wb−w−a−w−b​.
(2)

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  1. Stopped martingale in discrete time
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  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2024 / ii / Paper 2 / 30L / d / Solution

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