For a weak perturbation of a planar Hamiltonian system, integrate the first-order change of the unperturbed Hamiltonian around each unperturbed periodic orbit. Zeros of this averaged energy drift select candidate perturbed periodic orbits, and a change from positive to negative drift indicates stability.
Suppose is a first integral of an unperturbed planar system and after perturbation. A periodic orbit converging to an unperturbed orbit can persist only if
Indeed, the net change of over every period is zero. A nonzero averaged drift therefore obstructs persistence.
For a planar Hamiltonian system with vector field perturbed by , the divergence theorem expresses the leading drift of the first integral around a closed periodic orbit as
A vanishing drift is a necessary first-order selection condition for a persisting periodic orbit. A simple zero with outward drift on its inner side and inward drift on its outer side yields an attracting limit cycle. In the Hamiltonian limit of three-to-one forcing, the separatrix triangle has mean , so the leading separatrix flux vanishes at . A homoclinic or heteroclinic transition still requires the separatrix splitting and higher-order corrections to be controlled.
For
the perturbation gives . Along an unperturbed orbit with turning points ,
On either unperturbed homoclinic loop, and the positive-side turning points are zero and . The first-order persistence condition is
which gives .
For the periodic energy levels enclosing one well, the energy-balance value of ranges from one at the center to at the homoclinic loop. Thus for small positive , one expects one symmetric pair of single-well periodic orbits when .

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