For , , let . On an outer periodic orbit with , leading energy balance method requires , whereHere . The homoclinic orbit limit is . Differentiating the denominator gives a period integral diverging at , whereas the derivative of the numerator stays finite; hence decreases immediately above zero. At large , rescaling gives . Its first nondegenerate minimum selects a saddle-node bifurcation of periodic orbits; numerical quadrature gives . The cycle on the decreasing portion is unstable and the one on the increasing portion is stable, since the net energy drift has sign . Restoring an unperturbed coefficient in the linear restoring term multiplies the threshold by .
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