Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2021 ii Paper 1 6E b ii Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-09-25
The disease-free equilibrium is . Forthe Jacobian matrix there isBecause this matrix is triangular, its eigenvalue are its diagonal entries:The second eigenvalue is positive exactly whenUnder this condition the linear stability analysis gives an unstable disease-free equilibrium, agreeing with the epidemic invasion threshold.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2023 ii Paper 2 6C a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
This is the SIR model with waning immunity. The mass-action interaction term transfers people from the susceptible compartment to the infected compartment, transfers infectives to the recovered compartment, and returns recovered people to susceptibility as immunity wanes. Adding the equations givesso the total population is conserved.
When and infection is rare, andThus initially decays if . Equivalently, the basic reproduction number is , so the epidemic invasion threshold is not crossed and no epidemic occurs.