For the two-choice Achlioptas process, fix and . Conditional on any current graph with , put equal to the vertices in its large graph components. There are at most such initial graph components. If after more steps no graph component contains vertices of , greedily assign final graph components to two groups so that each meets at least vertices of . This induces a set partition of the initial large graph components, of which there are at most possibilities.
For any fixed such split , a uniform candidate edge joins to with probability at least . If both candidates do so, the selected edge cannot avoid the crossing. Thus the probability that the split survives all steps is at most . The deliberately weaker constant also covers distinct candidate sampling for sufficiently large . In the absent-edge version, as long as the split has survived, every -- edge is absent, so conditioning on absence can only increase this crossing probability. A union bound with and bounds failure by . For fixed , a further union bound makes the conclusion simultaneous over all starting steps . This proof is independent of how the rule chooses between the two candidates.

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