Forward-backward bias of phase slips ($p_{+}/p_{-}=e^{2\pi \omega /T_{\mathrm{eff}}}$)

In a mobility-one noisy Adler phase equation, matching Kramers escape rate prefactors and a barrier difference $2\pi \omega$ give $p_{+}/p_{-}=e^{2\pi \omega /T_{\mathrm{eff}}}$. Positive mismatch favors forward winding. The ratio is a low-noise barrier-crossing result, not a claim that the particle remains in one well at arbitrarily long times.