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Adiabatic shielding suppresses the heating of an orbit when an external tidal tensor varies slowly compared with its orbital frequency. In a nonresonant slow encounter, adiabatic invariance of an orbital action lets the orbit adjust approximately reversibly, so a frozen-position impulse approximation overestimates the energy transfer. An orbital resonance can invalidate the simple slow-variation argument.

Ignoring gravitational focusing, a galaxy sweeps a cylinder of volume $\pi R^2{v}_{\mathrm{rel}}T$. Multiplying this by the number density $N$ of target galaxies and averaging the relative speed gives the mean encounter countFor independent encounters modeled by a Poisson process, the probability of at least one galaxy merger is $1-e^{-\mu }$. The printed expression $P=\mu$ is its rare-encounter approximation $\mu \ll 1$; it is not an exact probability for arbitrary $T$.

For an illustrative present-day field population take an effective merger impact parameter $R=20\mathrm{kpc}=0.02\mathrm{Mpc}$, $N=10^{-2}{\mathrm{Mpc}}^{-3}$, and $⟨v_{\mathrm{rel}}⟩=200\mathrm{km}{\mathrm{s}}^{-1}$. These are assumed order-of-magnitude inputs, not precise observational measurements. Taking a Hubble time of $T\simeq 1.4\times 10^{10}\mathrm{yr}\simeq 4.4\times 10^{17}\mathrm{s}$, the given distance conversion yieldsand henceThus the geometric field estimate is of order $10^{-5}$ to $10^{-4}$ per Hubble time. It scales as $R^{2}N⟨v_{\mathrm{rel}}⟩T$ and is very sensitive to environment and the adopted effective merger radius. Enhanced density in groups, gravitational focusing, and the evolution of the galaxy population are all omitted; this number is not a prediction of the full cosmological merger fraction.

Now use the stipulated rapid, distant encounter. The consistent rectilinear trajectory isWith the stated impact parameter along $x$ and velocity along $z$, this trajectory lies in the $xz$-plane. The original PDF's reference to the $xy$-plane is a typo; the local TeX also corrupts the impact-parameter direction. The original PDF fixes that direction as $x$.

Use the positive potential $G{m}_p/|\mathbf{R}-\mathbf{r}|$, whose gradient is the attractive acceleration under the question's sign convention. Its multipole expansion isThe first term has no force; the linear term accelerates the entire galaxy and disappears in the frame following its centre of mass. The leading internal tidal potential is thereforeThis is a quadrupole approximation valid for $r\ll p$, rather than an exact equality for every $r<p$. Its acceleration tidal tensor acts on $\mathbf{r}$ asIn the impulse approximation, each stellar position is held fixed during the flyby and the velocity kick is the integral of this acceleration. Put $s=vt$; terms odd in $s$ integrate to zero, whileThe integrated diagonal coefficients of the tidal tensor are consequently $(2,-2,0)/(v{p}^2)$, givingThe encounter stretches the galaxy along the impact parameter, compresses it along $y$, and gives no net leading kick along the flyby direction.

Denote the pre-encounter stellar velocity by $\mathbf{u}$, to distinguish it from the relative flyby speed $v$. The instantaneous change of specific kinetic energy isUncorrelated kicks with zero mean cross term imply $⟨\mathbf{u}\cdot \Delta \mathbf{v}⟩=0$, so the phase-averaged heating at a specified position isFor an individual star the cross term need not vanish: the formula is an ensemble or orbital-phase average. Integrating over a spherical galaxy of mass $m_g$, symmetry gives $⟨x^2⟩=⟨y^2⟩=⟨z^2⟩=⟨r^2⟩/3$. Therefore the total tidal heating isFor two identical galaxies, each receives this heating with $m_p=m_g$. Adding both contributions gives

In the centre of mass frame, equal masses approach with speeds $v/2$ if $v$ is their relative speed at infinity. The initial orbital energy iswhere $m_g/2$ is the reduced mass. The orbital potential energy vanishes at infinite separation. Within the weak-deflection approximation this asymptotic speed is also the nearly constant speed used in the flyby calculation.

Conservation of energy transfers the positive internal heating out of the relative orbit. Tidal capture of galaxies occurs in this model if $E_{\mathrm{orb}}-\Delta E_{\mathrm{int}}<0$, which givesThe equality is marginal capture. A bound pair still needs subsequent evolution to coalesce, so the result is an approximate capture criterion used here as a merger criterion. Its right-hand side has dimensions of length times speed, as required.

The impulse approximation requires the flyby duration $\tau \sim p/v$ to be short compared with the stellar dynamical time ${\Omega }^{-1}$, namely $v/p\gg \Omega$. If $v/p<\Omega$, a star moves substantially during the encounter. Its orbital adiabatic invariance of an orbital action suppresses net heating by a slowly varying tidal field: adiabatic shielding of tidal encounters replaces the frozen-position calculation. The divergent $v^{-2}$ heating predicted by extrapolating the impulsive formula to slow encounters is therefore spurious. Close passages with $p$ comparable to the galaxy size or strong gravitational focusing also lie outside the derivation.

Tidal capture converts sufficient relative orbital energy into internal tidal heating to leave two initially unbound galaxies on a bound orbit. For identical spherical galaxies of mass $m_g$, a distant rapid flyby of impact parameter $p$ and relative speed $v$ gives the approximate capture condition $pv<[(32/3)G^2{m}_g^2⟨r^2⟩{]}^{1/4}$. This requires the impulse approximation and weak gravitational focusing; it is not a general criterion for subsequent coalescence.