A logistic regression fitted to ungrouped Bernoulli observations has residual deviance . Comparing it automatically with is generally invalid: the saturated dimension grows with , with one observation per fitted probability. If the true model has only an intercept and success probability , then , whereas . Fixed-dimensional nested-model likelihood-ratio tests can still use Wilks theorem under regularity. For absolute fit, use meaningful grouping, residual diagnostics, or a fitted-model parametric bootstrap.
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