Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2011 ii Paper 1 28K Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-14
For a decision rule and loss , its risk function is . It is an admissible estimator if there is no rule with risk everywhere no larger and somewhere strictly smaller. A Bayes decision rule minimizes for a specified prior . A minimax decision rule minimizes over all rules.
Here the maximum-likelihood estimator is , and its squared-error risk isWrite the proposed estimator as with for , and assign any value at zero, an event of probability zero. Expanding the squared loss givesStein's lemma for a unit-covariance normal vector says when the relevant derivatives and expectations are integrable. With ,The singularity causes no difficulty in three dimensions: is locally integrable against the volume element , and the normal tails control infinity. More formally apply Stein's lemma first to , then let ; its squared norm and derivative magnitudes are bounded by constants times , so dominated convergence justifies the limit. ConsequentlyThe expectation is finite and strictly positive. Thus this James–Stein estimator strictly dominates the maximum likelihood estimator, which is inadmissible under the specified squared-error loss.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2015 ii Paper 1 25J Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-06
The James–Stein estimator in the specified unit-variance model iswith an arbitrary value at , a probability-zero event. The risk of is . Gaussian Stein identity states for suitably integrable differentiable functions; it extends to the present singular function by truncation, since makes finite.
Put and . Then and . Expanding the quadratic risk and applying Stein's lemma yieldsThus domination is strict for every finite .
To identify the worst-case risk, let . On , the reciprocal square is at most . On the complementary ball, the Gaussian density is at most , so its reciprocal-square integral is bounded by a constant times , tending to zero. Therefore , and from below. HenceThe second supremum is approached at infinity and need not be attained at a finite parameter.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2018 ii Paper 2 28K b Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
An admissible estimator is one for which there is no estimator satisfyingfor every , with strict inequality for at least one . For , the James–Stein estimatorhas riskIt strictly dominates , and hence