At maximum expansion, . With , the present Friedmann equation gives , so positive curvature requires . Taking for the presently expanding branch givesThe lifetime of a closed dust universe follows by setting . The deceleration parameter follows from the Friedmann acceleration equation, . Thus this model always decelerates while expanding. Its total lifetime includes the elapsed age; it is not the remaining lifetime.
The supernova discovery of accelerating expansion does not support this dust-only recollapse model as a description of the observed expansion history. Already the 1998 and 1999 Type Ia supernova analyses favoured accelerating expansion, requiring ingredients beyond this zero-cosmological constant, positive-curvature dust model within the usual FLRW metric interpretation.[ref]
Observational Evidence from Supernovae for an Accelerating Universe and a Cosmological Constant by Adam Riess and others. Abstract: evidence for present acceleration
[ref] Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2005 iii Paper 61 1 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Use natural units with , write , and measure cosmic time from the Big Bang. The cosmological continuity equation follows by differentiating the Friedmann equation and using the Friedmann acceleration equation; for pressureless matter it gives , hence when the present scale factor is . The present critical density and cosmological density parameter giveConsequently, with , the Friedmann equation becomes .
Introduce conformal time through . A prime denotes a derivative with respect to , so andSet , with at the Big Bang. On the expanding branch the substitution satisfies this equation. Integrating , with , gives the closed matter-dominated Friedmann solution:The parametrization continues smoothly through the maximum scale factor, reached at , onto the contracting branch. Its curve in the plane is a rescaled cycloid.
For a presently expanding universe, selects . The normalization givesSubstitution yields the age of a closed dust universe:The first later zero of the scale factor occurs at , so the lifetime of a closed dust universe gives the Big Crunch timeThis is the total lifetime measured from the Big Bang; the remaining cosmic time is . As a check, the limit gives , while the Big Crunch recedes to infinite time, as expected for a flat matter-dominated universe with zero cosmological constant.