Put . Independence gives a likelihood ratio
Since , this is strictly increasing in . A threshold chosen between its values at and gives precisely the stated upper-tail critical region, so it is a likelihood-ratio test.
The sum has a Poisson distribution with mean . Thus the size of a statistical test and its statistical power at are
For the grouped-area problem, let , , . The null log likelihood, up to data-only constants, is
The maximum-likelihood estimate is , giving fitted means and in the two groups. Under the alternative, the fitted group means are and .
Use the increasing generalized likelihood-ratio test convention , consistent with the printed positive . The exponential and factorial factors cancel, yielding the likelihood-ratio test of area-proportional Poisson means
Terms with zero count are interpreted as ; if , take . If the inverse ratio is used, the reported test statistic is instead .
Under the null, the regular large-sample Wilks theorem approximation is : the alternative has two rate parameters and the null one. The value far exceeds the usual critical value, about , and has approximate tail probability . Thus reject proportionality of the expected counts to area: the two groups show evidence of different territory densities. The statistic alone does not say which group has greater density; that requires versus . For small counts, an exact conditional test uses under the null instead of the asymptotic calibration.