Normal scale mixture representation of Student t Created 2026-10-14 Updated 2026-10-20
For independent and , the displayed ratio has the Student t-distribution with statistical degrees of freedom. Equivalently, conditional on , has normal distribution . This is a normal scale mixture representation of Student t: a small latent denominator occasionally produces a much larger spread. The result is a heavy-tailed distribution even though every conditional probability distribution is a normal distribution.
For a short derivation, independence lets us multiply the conditional normal density and the chi-squared distribution's probability density function, then integrate over the unobserved :The resulting gamma function integral has shape and rate , yielding the normalized probability density function above. Also, for , conditional expectation gives . Thus unit scale does not mean unit variance. Finally, and imply convergence in probability to 1 by Chebyshev's inequality; Slutsky's theorem then gives the standard normal distribution limit.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2008 iii Paper 44 3 j Solution 2026-10-14
The Student t-distribution has heavier tails than the normal distribution, so unusual personal means need not force the entire population's spread upward or be shrunk as strongly toward its center. The latent allows a large local prior variance for an outlying individual. This normal scale mixture representation of Student t is a useful robust version of the hierarchical Bayesian model. It still assumes a symmetric, unimodal population; a genuinely multimodal population may need a different model.