Assume an ideal nondegenerate hydrogen gas in thermal equilibrium and chemical equilibrium, with ground-state atoms and charge neutrality. Let and . The ground-state Saha equation, with the usual electron/proton spin factors cancelling the atomic ground-state degeneracy, isInvert it and use . This givessoHere is the electron mass denoted in the source, and . At , the left side is two. At of order , the right side is extremely small because and . A large exponential is needed to compensate, requiring rather than a temperature of order the binding energy.
Physically, there are enormously many photons per baryon, so even a small high-energy tail of the thermal photon distribution can maintain ionization. Recombination is delayed until that tail is sufficiently depleted. This explains the low recombination temperature without solving the equilibrium equation; actual cosmological recombination also eventually requires rate equations once equilibrium fails.
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