Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2014 / iii / Paper 32 / 6 / Solution

For an event at $t_j$ from subject $i_j$, with covariate vector $z_i$, define the Schoenfeld functionThe second term is the hazard-weighted mean covariate in the risk set just before the event. The Schoenfeld residual is this function evaluated at the fitted coefficient, $r_j=s_j(\hat{\beta })$. Calculate one residual vector per event, using every at-risk subject, including those who will subsequently be censored. There is no ordinary event residual assigned at a right censoring time.

The Cox partial likelihood score function is ${\sum }_j{s}_j(\beta )$. At the true constant coefficient in a Cox proportional-hazards model, the conditional event subject is selected with weights proportional to $e^{{\beta }^T{z}_i}$, so each Schoenfeld function has conditional mean zero. If the coefficient varies with time, that centering changes. Plot residuals against event time or a transformation of it, smooth them, and investigate departures from zero. Scaled Schoenfeld residuals account for the risk-set covariate variance and can display departures in coefficient units; score function tests based on residual-time association provide a formal check. Risk-set composition affects unscaled residual variance, and the total residual score function can be zero by fitting even when a time trend is present.