Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2017 / ib / Paper 4 / 19H / b / Solution

Under the null hypothesis $\theta =0$, $X$ has the uniform distribution on $[0,1]$. Against $\theta =1$, the likelihood ratio is $2x$, increasing on that interval. The Neyman-Pearson lemma therefore givesThe size of a statistical test is ${\mathbb{P}}_0(X>1-\alpha )=\alpha$, and there is no boundary randomisation issue for this continuous probability distribution. Its statistical power against $\theta =1$ is ${\int }_{1-\alpha }^{1}2xdx=2\alpha -{\alpha }^2$.

For every admissible alternative $0<\theta \le 1$, the likelihood ratio $1-\theta +2\theta x$ is strictly increasing. The same upper-tail rejection set has size $\alpha$ and is a most powerful test against each fixed such alternative, again by the Neyman-Pearson lemma. Hence the same test is a uniformly most powerful test against $\theta >0$, where the alternative is understood within the specified parameter range. Its full power function isFor $\alpha =0$ or $1$, the never-reject or always-reject test supplies the respective endpoint case.