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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2017 / iii / Paper 201 / 1 / c

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Mathematics course of the University of Cambridge Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2017 iii Paper 201 1
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c
Use the natural filtration Fk​=σ(X1​,…,Xk​) and define Mk​=Sk​−mk. The increments Xk​−m are centered, independent, and square integrable, so their conditional expectations given the past are zero. Thus (Mk​) is a square-integrable martingale with M0​=0. Independence gives
E∣Mn​∣2=Var(∑j=1n​(Xj​−m))=nσ2.
(1)
Applying the Doob L2 maximal inequality yields
E[0≤k≤nmax​∣Sk​−mk∣2]≤4nσ2.​
(2)
This includes σ2=0, when every centered increment vanishes almost surely.

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