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Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2021 / iii / Paper 326 / 3 / 1 / a / Solution

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A Bayesian inverse problem consists of a prior distribution μ0​ on the unknown u∈X, a reference measure on the data space Y, and a jointly measurable likelihood L(u;y) such that L(u;⋅) is a probability density function for μ0​-almost every u. For observed data y, Bayes theorem defines the posterior distribution by
dμ0​dμy​(u)=Z(y)L(u;y)​,Z(y)=∫X​L(u;y)dμ0​(u)​,
(1)
provided 0<Z(y)<∞.

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