For every daughter energy level, the total number leaving it must equal direct beta feeding plus cascades entering it. Direct feeding cannot be negative. This nuclear level population balance gives a decisive test without assuming any electromagnetic transition-strength model.
In scheme B, the first excited level is populated by and , with counts . Its only downward transition is , whose count is . Its direct beta feeding would therefore have to bewhich is impossible.
For scheme A the corresponding direct feeding values, in the same arbitrary count normalization, areAll are non-negative. Thus scheme A is the compatible scheme. Under the stipulated complete decay sample and the six-transition model, scheme B is ruled out by population conservation, rather than merely being less probable. This inference assumes that the reported emitted-photon counts account for de-excitation: substantial unreported internal conversion or other decay paths would require additional terms.
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