Past exam of the sub-atomic physics course of the University of Oxford / 2016 / 3 / e / Solution

The supplied average retained-energy fraction in one elastic collision isThe mean-energy neutron moderation count follows by iterating the stated mean-energy model for neutron moderation, giving $E_n=f^n{E}_0$. Equivalently, take logarithms to solve the geometric decrease:Hence the estimated integer count isAfter $117$ collisions the predicted mean energy is about $0.0285$ eV; after $118$ it is about $0.0244$ eV, bracketing the target. This is a mean-energy estimate using the given average retention factor. Individual scattering angles and energy losses fluctuate, so a specified single neutron is not guaranteed to reach the target on exactly its $118$th collision. An estimate based on the average logarithmic energy decrement is a different statistical convention.