Residual deviance 2026-10-06
The unscaled residual deviance of an exponential dispersion family compares its fitted mean with the saturated statistical model at a common dispersion parameter. Its normalization removes the factor in the log-likelihood. In Poisson regression and binomial regression, , so it is twice the saturated-minus-fitted log-likelihood. Under suitable regularity, has approximately a chi-squared distribution with the residual degrees of freedom; this is not an automatic accurate approximation for sparse responses. Nested deviance reductions with estimated dispersion lead to approximate F-tests after scaling by the dispersion estimate.
Treatment interaction contrast in a Poisson regression Created 2026-10-05 Updated 2026-10-06
In a Poisson regression with , the treatment logarithm of the mean ratio at baseline is . The main treatment coefficient tests the contrast at . An overall no-treatment test requires both and , with their joint covariance matrix for a Wald test.