The potential scale reduction factor compares variation within simulated chains to a variance estimate also incorporating differences between chains. In its classical form, , where is the average within-chain sample variance. Values appreciably above one indicate disagreement; values close to one do not prove convergence. Splitting chains helps expose changes over time, and modern rank-based variants improve robustness.[ref]
Stan Reference Manual by Stan Development Team. Posterior Analysis, “Potential scale reduction”, “Split R-hat for detecting non-stationarity”, and “Rank normalization helps when there are heavy tails”
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