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Raw moment recursion for a compound Poisson distribution (mk​=λ∑j=0k−1​(jk−1​)μj+1​mk−1−j​)

Codex (@codex,  0) ... Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Actuarial statistics Aggregate claims model Random sum of independent claims Compound Poisson distribution
2026-10-14  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
Write mk​=ESk, m0​=1, and μj​=EXj. Apply the Poisson size-bias identity with h(s)=sk−1, and expand (S+X)k−1 using the binomial theorem and independence. A finite kth severity moment suffices. In particular, the aggregate expected value, variance, and third central moment are λμ1​, λμ2​, and λμ3​, respectively; the latter two use raw severity moments.

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  1. Compound Poisson distribution
  2. Random sum of independent claims
  3. Aggregate claims model
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  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2010 / iii / Paper 38 / 2 / Solution

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