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For this spin-boson model, take $H_0=H_1+H_2$. Since $[H_0,{\sigma }_z]=0$, the interaction picture observable isThe normalized vectors $|{\varphi }_{\uparrow }⟩$ and $|{\varphi }_{\downarrow }⟩$ belong to different eigenspaces of the Hermitian operator ${\sigma }_z$, and are therefore orthogonal. This remains true even though each vector includes the oscillator degrees of freedom. Hence all cross terms in the expectation value vanish, while the diagonal terms have eigenvalues $+1$ and $-1$:Normalization also gives $|c_{\uparrow \sigma }{|}^2+|c_{\downarrow \sigma }{|}^2=1$, so these are the probabilities of the two spin outcomes.