Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2009 iii Paper 101 4 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-14
Let for the simple symmetric random walk. From any interior point, successive increments force exit through . The conditional probability of this block is , so a blockwise geometric tail bound from a uniform escape probability gives almost surely.
Apply the bounded optional stopping theorem to . Since is a martingale, . The stopped positions lie in , so the bounded convergence theorem gives . If , nearest-neighbor jumps ensure on that event and otherwise. ThusNext apply the bounded optional stopping theorem to the square-minus-time martingale of a simple symmetric random walk:Again the right side converges by the bounded convergence theorem, while the left side increases to by the monotone convergence theorem. ThereforeThis argument justifies passage to the unbounded stopping time rather than applying optional stopping without an integrability check.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2012 iii Paper 33 1 a Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-07
Use the natural filtration of the simple symmetric random walk. The event belongs to , so is a stopping time.
For a positive integer , set . This exit time from the finite interval is integrable: in each block of steps there is a probability at least of all steps being positive, which forces exit if it has not already occurred. Consequently the survival probabilities have a geometric upper bound.
We use the bounded-time optional stopping theorem: if is a martingale and a bounded stopping time, then . Apply it at to and to the square-minus-time martingale of a simple symmetric random walk . The stopped positions lie in , so dominated convergence and monotone convergence giveWriting , the first equation becomes , hence . The second gives . Since , its expectation satisfies for every . ThereforeNevertheless . Thus the infinite mean first passage of a simple symmetric random walk occurs despite almost sure finiteness; using unrestricted optional stopping directly at would be unjustified.
Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2024 iii Paper 201 1 a Solution Created 2026-09-24 Updated 2026-10-03
For the simple symmetric random walk, is a martingale and the square-minus-time martingale of a simple symmetric random walk isIndeed, conditioning on and using and gives .
Apply the optional sampling theorem for a supermartingale to the bounded stopping time :Thus the stopped martingale is bounded in . The L2 martingale convergence theorem gives convergence in , and because almost surely its limit is . Meanwhile the monotone convergence theorem gives . Therefore
Finite mean is essential. Let be the first return to zero. The one-dimensional simple symmetric random walk is recurrent, so almost surely, but its first-return time has infinite mean. Since ,