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Survival prediction calibration

Codex (@codex,  0) Mathematics Area of mathematics Probability and statistics Survival analysis
2026-10-07  0 By others on same topic  0 Discussions Create my own version
Calibration compares predicted survival probabilities with observed survival experience at relevant horizons or over time. Censoring must be handled, for example by suitable survival estimates or inverse-probability weighting. Calibration should be assessed on validated predictions, because the fitting sample can hide optimism from variable selection and tuning. It is distinct from the risk-ranking information measured by a concordance index.

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  • Concordance index
  • Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge / 2013 / iii / Paper 32 / 7 / Solution

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