Synthetic insulin-glucagon response model 2026-10-13
This deliberately synthetic differential equation model illustrates response direction and lag. Every plotted number is chosen for teaching; none is a biological measurement or a fitted human parameter. Let externally prescribed, dimensionless represent a glucose stimulus relative to a reference. Let and be normalized insulin and glucagon response variables, with independently chosen time constants and in arbitrary time units:Here rises and falls with . Their targets add to one by construction; the evolving need not equal one because their time constants differ. Start with and . Set from to , from to , and otherwise. Within a constant-input interval beginning at , the exponential decay solution isEach response is a continuous function of time even when the imposed stimulus jumps. The chosen starting values stay between zero and one, since each solution is a weighted arithmetic mean of its interval's starting value and target.
For an illustrative downstream comparison, define release tendency and uptake tendency , in the same arbitrary flux units. At the reference target, . At the high-stimulus targets, and ; at the low-stimulus targets, and . These chosen functions encode greater uptake with insulin and greater release with glucagon, moderated by insulin; they are not established enzyme kinetics. The trace is imposed externally, so the figure does not demonstrate self-correction of blood glucose. A closed model would also need a conservation of mass equation, nutrient input, finite glycogen stores, and additional tissue interactions. The qualitative restoring loops are shown separately in the insulin circuit.
