Past exam of the mathematics course of the University of Cambridge 2014 iii Paper 8 2 Solution Created 2026-10-03 Updated 2026-10-06
The weak topology of probability measures is the smallest topology making every map continuous for bounded continuous real on . Define the bounded-Lipschitz metric byUsing the maximum of the two bounds instead of their sum changes the metric by at most a factor of two and gives the same topology. Symmetry and the triangle inequality follow from the supremum formula. Bounded Lipschitz functions distinguish probability measures by the open-set approximations below, so is a metric. On a separable metric space, induces the weak topology.
Here are the essential details. If , integrals of every bounded Lipschitz function converge after rescaling its Lipschitz bound. For an open set , the functionsincrease to ; for take . Thus . It follows both that is lower semicontinuous for the weak topology, as a supremum of continuous maps, and that beta convergence impliesThis is the open-set Portmanteau criterion. Its closed-set equivalent, by complements, isEither family of inequalities is necessary and sufficient for weak convergence of probability measures. For sufficiency of the open inequalities, apply the layer-cake formula and Fatou's lemma to the open superlevel sets of a continuous function , obtaining . Applying the same argument to gives the reverse bound. Scaling handles every bounded continuous function.
Conversely, weak convergence implies beta convergence. Choose a compact set of arbitrarily large -mass, using tightness of a probability measure on a Polish space. The unit bounded-Lipschitz class is uniformly bounded and equicontinuous on , so finitely many of its members approximate all others uniformly there. On the open -neighborhood , approximation errors increase by at most . The open-set inequality makes large for all sufficiently large . Weak convergence for the finitely many selected functions, combined with these approximation errors and the small mass outside , bounds the supremum defining by an arbitrarily small number. The same finite-test and open-mass bounds define weak neighborhoods, so the argument gives equality of the topologies, not only their convergent sequences. It does not first assume uniform tightness of the entire sequence.
The map is injective and continuous: for , is bounded continuous on , and . To prove inverse continuity on its image, suppose . For every open , there is an open with . Hence and . The open-set criterion on now gives the criterion on , so . Both spaces are metrizable, and this sequential argument provesThis is the probability pushforward embedding theorem. The printed claim needs the words “onto its image”: it is generally not onto all , since a Dirac mass at a point outside is not in its image. By Question 1, the completely metrizable subspace is a Borel G-delta set, and
Now let be weakly closed and uniformly tight. Take any sequence in . The space is compact for the weak topology. For completeness, this compactness follows by choosing a countable uniformly dense family in , extracting a diagonal subsequence of its bounded integrals, and extending the limits to a positive normalized functional on ; the Riesz-Markov-Kakutani representation theorem gives the limiting probability measure. Thus, along a subsequence, .
For every , choose compact with for every . The set is compact and closed in , so the closed-set criterion givesTherefore , and for some . Inverse continuity gives , and closedness puts . Hence is sequentially compact, and metrizability makes it compact. This proves the required closed uniformly tight compactness criterion, rather than assuming it from Prokhorov's theorem.
Such a compact metrizable extension is always available: for a countable dense set , the coordinates embed homeomorphically into . Injectivity and inverse continuity follow by choosing close to a specified point and using the triangle inequality. The closure of the image gives .
To show separability of , use finite sums of Dirac measures on a countable dense subset of with nonnegative rational weights summing to one. This is a countable family. Given , cover a large-mass compact set by finitely many small balls centered in that subset, move the mass in each piece to its center, and move the remaining small mass to one fixed center. The bounded-Lipschitz error is at most the ball radius plus twice the exceptional mass. Approximate the resulting weights by rational weights. Thus these atomic measures are beta-dense.
Finally use a complete compatible metric on the Polish space , as required for the granted total-boundedness-to-tightness assertion. A beta-Cauchy sequence is beta-totally bounded, and so is its closure in . By the allowed assertion this closure is uniformly tight; it is weakly closed because the weak and beta topologies agree. The compactness result just proved gives a convergent subsequence, and the Cauchy property forces the whole sequence to converge in beta. Consequently beta is complete for this choice of , andIf the originally displayed compatible metric is incomplete, replace it by a complete compatible metric for this last argument; the weak topology itself is unchanged.
Uniform tightness 2026-10-06
The same compact set must work simultaneously for every measure in the family. Prokhorov's theorem relates this condition to relative compactness for the weak topology of probability measures on a Polish space.